Obama For VP Now Possible?

I know i personally never believed Clinton/Obama to be a possible ticket, especially with all of Hillary's choices close to her (Clark, Bayh, Vilsack, Strickland), but i am beginning to question that.  Does there come a point where if Clinton reaches the delegates needed to win or comes very close and Obama is hot on her tails after Feb. 5th that she is really forced to pick him?  Is there any scenario where due to his support and standing in the race, she must at least ask him to be VP?

Thoughts?


Poll
Is There Any Chance Of Hillary Asking Obama To Be VP?
Yes
No

Votes: 26
Results : Vote Link : Polls

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Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

There was an article about the VP early in the race and it talked about these things- I remember it saying Clinton would only be left to choose on her own if she won the nomination with a wide margin- and if she didn't, that even she would not be able to escape being pressured to pick who the Democrats wanted.  It talked about Reagan having to choose Bush and that he didn't really want him- and we know that Kerry didn't want Edwards because he has come out and said it.

I think she will be pressured by the party to choose someone- whether that will be Obama, I don't know- but clearly, the African Americans who I keep hear saying will never vote for her in the primary will certainly change their minds if they have a chance to elect the first African American Vice-President in history.  I mean, I would certainly happily vote for a ticket that her as the VP pick.

But we'll see- everything is still very uncertain.


by reasonwarrior on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 08:51:43 AM EST

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

Interesting. Did Bill choose Gore or was he pressured into picking him?


by lonnette33 on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 09:01:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

I really don't know, it doesn't seem like he was pressured to pick him. I never heard that.  I wish I could find that article but it was so long ago, it's not turning up in a search but it didn't talk about Gore.  Maybe someone strong can resist pressure-  Kerry obviously couldn't- it was said he wanted Gephardt.  I wonder if Gore really wanted Lieberman, doesn't seem like it the way he endorsed Dean and didn't even tell Lieberman before he did it.


by reasonwarrior on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 09:37:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]

there was no pressure to pick Gore (none / 0)

It was a surprise, because Bill picked another southern white guy instead of doing the typical "balance the ticket" move.


Join the Iowa progressive community at Bleeding Heartland.
by desmoinesdem on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 10:06:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: there was no pressure to pick Gore (none / 0)

Thanks desmoinesdem.


by lonnette33 on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 10:52:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: there was no pressure to pick Gore (none / 0)

Gore had run for the nomination in 1988, but not again in 1992. So Clinton was in no way forced to take him on the ticket.

Edwards-Kerry, Reagan-Bush, Kennedy-Johnson, and Roosevelt-John Nance Garner in 1932 are the chief examples of unity tickets between the winner and a leading challenger.


by Woody on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 09:20:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

I think that is very sound logic.  Another scenario is that if she has a delegate lead but Obama is close enough to maybe not win, but to keep her from winning outright and the GOP settles on their nominee, that she makes a deal with Obama and gives him the VP, so that they can wrap the race up.  

I think Feb 5 will give us a picture of where this race is headed.


http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 10:54:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

As an Obama supporter who has been turned off by the Clinton campaign big time in the past 2 weeks, i can say the only way i would volunteer time or money to Clinton would be if Obama were VP.  Otherwise i would likely vote for her, but nothing else.


What would LBJ do?
by Socks The Cat on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 08:59:13 AM EST

Richardson is better choice (none / 0)

What states does Obama help her with? Assuming the reason for Obama as VP is to hold the Clinton-insulted African American vote, the Southern states, with high African American voters, have had overwhelming numbers voting Dem to no effect (Gore, Kerry still lost the south with 90% of the AA vote).

So if you're going to lose the South anyway, why not try to go after the West. Pick Richardson and see if you can put NM, CO, NV, AZ (unless McCain) and if dreaming TX in play. Richardson might also help in Florida, if you assume that people vote general ethnicity (not suggesting that they do or should and with Richardson, Cuban versus Mexican who knows how that plays).


by sinclair on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 09:11:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I agree (none / 0)

You pick the VP to fill a void in your support.  I don't see Obama doing that at all.

Richardson, Edwards, or anyone from CO, UT, NV, MT, ID, WA, OR or any of the other western states.

Possibly also Jim Webb.


by dataguy on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 09:15:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

she would never pick Obama or Edwards (none / 0)

If she wins the nomination, she will pick a white guy--Clark or a governor. Not Edwards--the Clintons don't like him.


Join the Iowa progressive community at Bleeding Heartland.
by desmoinesdem on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 10:07:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Richardson is better choice (none / 0)

Bill Clinton didn't pick that way.  He picked a guy from a neighboring state.  

Obama brings a HUGE fundraising list, loyal supporters and strong youth support.  HE has a very good organization as well.  He gives the inspirational side to her experience side and together they can easily sell the change meme.  Together, I think they can raise $150 mill for the GE.  Plus it heals the party... and while I don't think this has been as nasty between the candidates as previous years (such as 1984 or 1988), the supporters have both been very vicious and douchey.  


http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 11:03:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Thi s is nastier than '84 or '88 (none / 0)

This is the most bitter Democratic primary since at least '72.


by Trickster on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 11:54:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Thi s is nastier than '84 or '88 (none / 0)

I strongly disagree.  Its more contested, but no where near as nasty.  Maybe among the supporters, but not among the candidates.


http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 11:31:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

With Mccain/Huckabee being the most likely ticket, Clark would be the natural choice to counterbalance the military credentials and to be more competetive in Arkansas and upper south. Richardson could be the next best choice and could be of help in the southwest and florida. Hillary/clark and Hillary/richardson can take down Mccain on his foriegn policy. Vilsack is out of the picture since he couldn't deliver iowa to hillary. Bayh can make indiana competitive and is too vanilla opposite Mccain/huckabee star power. Further Chuck Shumer is not going to let her take away another senate seat with Mitch Daniels re-election being easy.
If the nomination drags to March or beyond with Hillary scraping through after a brutal fight which drives up her negatives while Mccain wins on Feb 5th, she may even start the general election race at 5-8%. At that time, she may opt for Obama to stop democrats and indies bleeding to Mcain.
So, bottomline
If Mccain is the nominee
a, Obama is VP if democratic nomination is not clinched by super tuesday.
b, Clark or Richardson may be VP if Hillary wins convincingly on Feb 5th.
If Romney or Huckabee win the nomination, she may not need Obama and Clark will be most certainly be the VP.

by rinis74 on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 09:07:52 AM EST

Clark (none / 0)

would be a great choice.

Jim Webb also.


by dataguy on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 09:16:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

Hillary has run on her experience and her ability to hit the ground running.  That means she has sold herself on being an experienced administrator with stong domestic and foreign policy experience.  

I agree Clark may be the most likely but there will be LOTS of pressure to pick Obama; and she may be toying with the idea now... Think of the AA turnout alone with Hillary, whom is well respected in the community and Obama, who would be the first AA VP.  So I guess we will see what happens.


http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 11:08:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

Am I missing something here?  How would Obama as VP help Hill? If Hill can only muster up 25% of the AA vote, 70% of Hispanic and 80% of Asian, and mobilize women to the polls, she still could win this think w/o 80 to 90% of AA's.

If Hill is the DEM nom I hope she is not pressured to take BO as VP when in essence he does nothing to help her bring in more states to the DEMs.


by lonnette33 on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 09:23:37 AM EST

I agree (none / 0)

I don't see Obama plugging any holes.

Clark, Jim Webb, Bob Graham (former FL senator), any of these would fill national security/southern credentials.


by dataguy on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 09:34:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

Another childish blackmail. Pick me otherwise our community will not support you... Grow up please...


by prisonbreak on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 09:41:23 AM EST

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

Which is not what is being said.  Go away troll.  You bring NOTHING to MyDD.


http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 11:09:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

Argh.

I am not saying anyone will DEMAND Obama to be VP or anything of the like.  I am simply asking if you guys think there comes a point when Obama is SO CLOSE in delegates and support, that Hillary herself will pick him due to all of his support even with her winning or ahead?


What would LBJ do?
by Socks The Cat on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 10:12:55 AM EST

Webb's perfect. Macho white military guy. (none / 0)

Men are her weak spot. But then they are the Democratic weak spot. Webb would be perfect.


by ottovbvs on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 10:19:15 AM EST

Re: Webb's perfect. Macho white military guy. (none / 0)

Webb opens up a senate seat in a red or purple state and we don't have a strong dem on the bench who is a shoo-in to take Webbs seat.   Clark would be better duet o this reason... However, I think she would be better served picking OUTSIDE of the Clinton inner circle.  Otherwise, the business as usual GOP attack will rear its ugly head.  


http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 11:14:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

I honestly don't think he would take it if she was presured into offering the VP slot to him.  They're respective approaches do not go together very well at all, and I think he knows that.  

This thing isn't over, so I don't want to look to the future too much at this point, but my guess is that if Clinton wins this time you will see Obama running for Governor of Illinois in 2010.  


by HSTruman on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 11:01:00 AM EST

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

I could see the Governor run... I also think he'd take VP in a heart beat if offered.  


http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 11:11:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Respective approachs (none / 0)

I don't think Obama's own respective approaches (i.e., his rhetorical approach to politics vs what he actually does) go together very well.  Which leaves me a little luke-warm to this proposal.


by Trickster on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 11:57:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

I'm not too happy the way she's played the gender card, so we are even.  


http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 11:10:23 AM EST

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

Mark this prediction down and remember when it happens ,

Hillary Rodham Clinton will pick Obama as her VP.

This guy has amazing talent and brings a lot to the table.

There would be a bruising battle for the nomination and I expect her to win it in the end ,but Obama would go toe to toe with her.

The reasons she would pick him ,

1) His potential of drawing in more Indes and disaffected republicans.

2) The potential of firming up the AA vote that might have become disaffected because of the nomination process.

3) If this guy can turn out the youth vote the way he is doing now , it would be great in the general

4)  If the AA vote inches up more than the usual # that votes a few southern states might be tipped e.g  Kentucky , Florida , etc.

5) Tons of money and loyal followers.

6) Pressure to heal the party and further the career of a rising star.

7) Plus I really do think Bill Clinton recognizes the enormous talent of Obama and the Clintons would be taken an earful from AA leaders assuming she wins and they have always had their support.
 


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 12:13:54 PM EST

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

Lori,

That's a good argument for Obama as VP, but those independents and republicans inclined to vote for a ticket with Obama as VP might be vehemently anti-Clinton too, in which case they may go with the GOP ticket, particularly if it's McCain (the extreme wingnut rump of the GOP hates McCain). So, if it's McCain v. Clinton, who do you think McCain would select as his running mate?

As for Clinton's VP, it won't be Webb. They need him in the Senate. It might be Clark, who endorsed Clinton early on in the primary campaign. But, it could be Evan Bayh (a big mistake, in my view, he's as boring as it gets!). I think the pressure would be on Hillary Clinton, as the nominee to pick Obama because it will excite the base. But, that all depends on how Obama does in the primary with delegates, not to mention how the Rezko trial looks down the road. If that looks like it will mushroom into trouble, there's no way a Clinton ticket would pick him.

The irony here is that Obama supporters are fond of saying that Obama isn't part of the hated DLC wing of the Democratic Party. But that is the very Democratic Party influence that comes into play in picking running mates. But, it's also true that nominees generally choose a running mate based on what support that running mate brings to the ticket.

If Barack Obama can prove his future in the party is bright, he would be good as a running mate for building the party toward future elections. If he's VP he's in the catbird seat for a run at the White House in 2012 or 2016. And, he's young, so he'd be perfectly capable of carrying on the party banner at that time.

Just some thoughts thrown in. Note: We do not know that the nominee won't be Obama. It could be. That's still to be decided as we go along. But, I think--IF Clinton is the nominee, there will be some pressure from the Congressional Black Caucus and some other wings of the Dem Party to reconcile the party and choose Obama...


"I never give them hell. I just tell the truth and they think it's hell." Harry S Truman
by Tennessean on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 12:36:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

yep the rezko thing would be a headache and might be the stuumbling block.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 01:00:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

that's a good argument, and I really hope it happens. the flip side of your argument is that being VP is just what Obama needs. 8 years in the center of the storm and he'll be primed to run for president -- in fact he'd be the presumptive nominee, rather than just another ambitious Senator.

but Hillary's the key, and you lay out good reasons why she'd choose Obama. I'd add that, most simply, they're clearly quite compatible ideologically.

but the down sides to Obama as VP include:

-there are reports they don't like each other. that could just be rumor, but I do think it's important that there be a comfort level between a POTUS and VP, and with an ambitious competitor like Obama I don't know that anyone would want him as their partner. Add to that his rock star quality, and I think a justifiable fear is that she'd be overshadowed and/or he'd be a loose cannon.

-what does he bring to the table in terms of new votes? Wes Clark clearly appeals to a demographic in which she's weak, and Vilsack might give her a regional appeal, but Obama's support is among Dem youth and Af Amers. Perhaps he'd increase the % of their turnout, but let's face it those voters will be Hillary's, anyway.

So...I don't think so...but I do fervently hope so. That'd be a transfomational, historical ticket and we'd both get the first woman president ever AND it'd put us in line to have the first African American president.


by CalDem on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 01:04:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

Lori,

I've been meaning to post on this topic, but you pretty much said everything I intended to say.  If the campaign proceeds as it looks like it will, then I expect Obama to be named VP.

And, you know what else?  There political stances are pretty similar too (look, for example, at their voting records).  Probably at least as similar as Clinton's and Gore's were in 1992.


by markjay on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 04:27:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

I think Obama should only accept the VP slot of both Clintons get down on their hands and knees and beg him to, and if they apologize for their supporters repeatedly stereotyping him as a drug dealer, and implying there would be an attack if he won.  Hillary would be a fool to not put Obama on the ticket. She'll already be starting the election as the one woman who single-handedly stopped America from getting a black president, so the only way she can even begin to make amends is by making Obama VP.  There's already talk on black radio of blacks supporting republicans (for the first time in decades) if she's the nominee. That's how pissed the black community is. She only won 16% of the black vote Nevada.  The only reason Bill Clinton prevailed in the 1990s is because more than 90% of black vote went for him.  If Hillary doesn't win back blacks by making Obama VP, then not only has she stopped America from getting a black president, but she'll stop the Democrats from winning back the white house in 2008.  That much I can guarantee.


by countmein on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 12:14:20 PM EST

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

There'a a lot of nastiness from both candidates' surrogates, so your naivete is showing by saying that Obama should force Hillary and Bill to beg on their knees.

No, I think, if Hillary Clinton were the nominee, and she offered Barack Obama a VP slot on the ticket, he'd be a fool not to take it. Frankly, it would give him a perfectly positioned step toward running for President and winning down the road. No one could claim he didn't have the experience; and certainly, he's got the rhetorical talent to do it.

Politics is a nasty game, and Barack Obama learned from the nastiest--Chicago Pols. He's no shrinking violet himself when it comes to dirty tricks--he shoved long-time African Americans aside in his earlier Illinois elections, by challenging names on ballot petitions--and he angered a lot of Illinois' black voters when he did so.

Give it a rest. I'm proud of both front runners in the Dem party, and I'm sad that John Edwards had the bad luck to be caught in the middle between two candidates who are such powerhouses that he couldn't get a foothold. But we're blessed with an embarrassment of RICHES in this primary, and we should try to keep that in mind here.

The GOP is fractured, lost, divided, and their house of cards is imploding on them--it's their own fault, of course, for letting W. so distort their party values that they no longer know what or who they are. They're the party of BIG DEBT, HUGE SPENDING and TWO FAILED WARS. They deserve every bit of the angst their experiencing.


"I never give them hell. I just tell the truth and they think it's hell." Harry S Truman
by Tennessean on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 12:45:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

Obama would never accept a VP slot to Hillary.
He'd be much more effective in the senate that attending funerals.
If she was the nominee she'd need him to campaign for her but if he was the nominee he would not need her at all.
Hillary will need all the help she can get to get to 50% of the popular vote. And a big part of that help will have to do with motivating the under 45 age group, getting 95% of the AA vote and the independents.
by joachim on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 12:46:18 PM EST

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

I agree with you Joachim. I think Clinton needs Obama more than Obama needs her on the ticket. Clinton/Obama is a dream ticket for me and a very formidable because Obama can motivate people, specifically young people.

However, I think theres no way Obama accepts the VP nod. Obama crosses his fingers and hopes Hillary loses in 2008, which would open 2012 to be his year as Democratic nominee without a doubt. It could like when Reagan turned down Ford's offer to be VP and they went with Reagan four years later. Should Hillary get elected, Obama is looking at 2016 AND overcoming the obstacle that he's Hillary #3 guy (behind Clinton) and he would have to find how to be his own man. Obama would then be running on the Clinton record, and having to go in an election in 2016 in which he has to defend the Clinton record not his own.

While I'd love for a Clinton/Obama ticket, Obama would never do it. He probably shouldn't if he's shrewd.


by falcon4e on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 02:44:44 PM EST

Re: Obama For VP Now Possible? (none / 0)

I think this scenario is entirely likely, if only to save the Democratic party from fracturing. I think Obama would accept the job in a heartbeat, but he wants it to look like he demanded it. In other words he threatens to walk away with the AA vote.

I think it would be a powerful coalition, I'd be happy with but my hesitation is as always the media. Is Obama mature enough to resist the media attempts to play the Obamas against the Clintons. You can imagine the flattering Obama coverage against the unflattering Bill and Hill. Just to torture the Clintons some more.

An interesting scenario would be if the Hispanic vote came out overwhelmingly for Clinton and maybe also started angling for the VP postion. Richardson or Salazar perhaps?


by superetendar on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 07:04:14 PM EST

Re: Obama For VP (none / 0)

Barack Hussein Obama will be Hillary Rodham Clinton's Veep, named to unify the party after a long and hard-fought primary season. Obama's been running for that job all along.

Running for President is the best way to get nominated for Vice President (Edwards, Jack Kemp, Gore, G.H.W. Bush, Mondale, Nelson Rockefeller, Hubert Humphrey, Lyndon Johnson, John Nance Garner in '32).

Becoming VP is the best way to become President (Gore*, G.H.W. Bush, Ford, Nixon, LBJ, Truman, Coolidge, Teddy Roosevelt). That has to be ever so true for a man who wants to be the First Black President. The best way to do that is to be the First Black Vice President.

All Obama had to do was sit down one night with an Almanac, count them up and decide, 'Damn, if I'm gonna get to be President, the best way is to run for it and settle for Veep, but how bad is that?' (Garner famously said the job wasn't worth "a bucket of warm shit," but he had been a powerful Speaker of the House, not a very junior member of the Senate.)

Michelle looked over her husband's list and agreed with him that the best way for her to become the First Black First Lady since Sally Hemmings was for him to run for Veep. They are both super-smart.

Meanwhile Obama runs for President with no downside. He just might win it this time. If not, he's likely to be nominated for VP and elected VP. And that's the straightest road to the White House.


by Woody on Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 09:45:54 PM EST


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